Rayonier is a leading timberland real estate investment trust with assets located in some of the most productive softwood timber growing regions in the United States and New Zealand. As of September 30, 2018, Rayonier owned, leased or managed approximately 2.6 million acres of timberlands located in the U.S. South (1.8 million acres), U.S. Pacific Northwest (378,000 acres) and New Zealand (407,000 acres).
Take a look at the 1-year chart of Rayonier (NYSE: RYN) below with my added notations:
RYN has formed a down-channel over the past six months. A channel is simply formed through the combination of a trend line support that runs parallel to a trend line resistance.
When it comes to channels, remember that any (3) points can start the channel, but a 4th point or more confirms it. You can see that RYN has tested its channel trendlines multiple times.
The Tale of the Tape: RYN has formed a chart pattern known as a channel, in this case a down channel. A long trade could be entered on a pullback down to the channel support, or on a break through the channel resistance. Short opportunities would be on rallies up to channel resistance or on a break of channel support.
Before making any trading decision, decide which side of the trade you believe gives you the highest probability of success. Do you prefer the short side of the market, long side, or do you want to be in the market at all? If you haven’t thought about it, review the overall indices themselves. For example, take a look at the S&P 500. Is it trending higher or lower? Has it recently broken through a key resistance or support level? Making these decisions ahead of time will help you decide which side of the trade you believe gives you the best opportunities.
No matter what your strategy or when you decide to enter, always remember to use protective stops and you’ll be around for the next trade. Capital preservation is always key!
Christian Tharp, CMT