Green Plains Inc. produces, markets, and distributes ethanol in the United States. The company operates through four segments: Ethanol Production, Corn Oil Production, Agribusiness, and Marketing and Distribution. It produces ethanol and co-products, such as wet, modified wet, or dried distillers grains, as well as extracts non-edible corn oil that is used as feedstock for biodiesel, livestock feed additives, rubber substitutes, rust preventatives, inks, textiles, soaps, and insecticides.
Take a look at the 1-year chart of Green (NASDAQ: GPRE) below with my added notations:
Over the past 4 months GPRE has been trending consistently higher, while also forming a nice trend line of support (green). Always remember that any (2) points can start a trend line, but it’s the 3rd test and beyond that confirm its relevance. A pullback to that line will provide trading opportunities, one way or another.
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The Tale of the Tape: GPRE has a trend line support to monitor. A long position could be entered on a pullback to the trendline, with a stop placed below the level of entry. A short position could be entered if GPRE were to break below its trendline.
Before making any trading decision, decide which side of the trade you believe gives you the highest probability of success. Do you prefer the short side of the market, long side, or do you want to be in the market at all? If you haven’t thought about it, review the overall indices themselves. For example, take a look at the S&P 500. Is it trending higher or lower? Has it recently broken through a key resistance or support level? Making these decisions ahead of time will help you decide which side of the trade you believe gives you the best opportunities.
No matter what your strategy or when you decide to enter, always remember to use protective stops and you’ll be around for the next trade. Capital preservation is always key!
Christian Tharp, CMT
Follow me on Twitter: @cmtstockcoach