Noble Energy, Inc., an independent energy company, engages in the acquisition, exploration, development, and production of crude oil, natural gas, and natural gas liquids worldwide.
Take a look at the 1-year chart of Noble (NYSE: NBL) below with my added notations:
Over the past 8 months, NBL has been trending steadily lower, while also forming a clear trend line of support (green) during the most recent 3 months. Always remember that any (2) points can start a trend line, but it’s the 3rd test and beyond that confirm its relevance. A pullback to that line will provide trading opportunities, one way or another.
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The Tale of the Tape: NBL has a trend line support to monitor. A long position could be entered on a pullback to the trendline, with a stop placed below the level of entry. A short position could be entered if NBL were to break below its trendline.
Before making any trading decision, decide which side of the trade you believe gives you the highest probability of success. Do you prefer the short side of the market, long side, or do you want to be in the market at all? If you haven’t thought about it, review the overall indices themselves. For example, take a look at the S&P 500. Is it trending higher or lower? Has it recently broken through a key resistance or support level? Making these decisions ahead of time will help you decide which side of the trade you believe gives you the best opportunities.
No matter what your strategy or when you decide to enter, always remember to use protective stops and you’ll be around for the next trade. Capital
preservation is always key!
Christian Tharp, CMT
Follow me on Twitter: @cmtstockcoach