Union Pacific Corporation, through its subsidiary, Union Pacific Railroad Company, operates railroads in the United States. It offers transportation services for agricultural products, including grains, commodities produced from grains, and food and beverage products; automotive products, such as finished vehicles and automotive parts; and chemicals comprising industrial chemicals, plastics, fertilizers, petroleum and liquid petroleum gases, crude oil, and soda ash.
Take a look at the 1-year chart of Union (NYSE: UNP) below with my added notations:
Over the past 5 months, UNP has created a key trendline of support (blue), which is also the “neckline” for the stock’s head and shoulders (H&S) reversal pattern. Above the neckline you will notice the H&S pattern itself (red). Confirmation of the H&S would occur if UNP were to break the support, and lower prices would be expected from there.
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The Tale of the Tape: UNP has formed a head & shoulders pattern. A long trade could be made at the trendline with a stop placed below that line, but ideally, the pattern implies a short trade to be entered on a break below that line instead.
Before making any trading decision, decide which side of the trade you believe gives you the highest probability of success. Do you prefer the short side of the market, long side, or do you want to be in the market at all? If you haven’t thought about it, review the overall indices themselves. For example, take a look at the S&P 500. Is it trending higher or lower? Has it recently broken through a key resistance or support level? Making these decisions ahead of time will help you decide which side of the trade you believe gives you the best opportunities.
No matter what your strategy or when you decide to enter, always remember to use protective stops and you’ll be around for the next trade. Capital preservation is always key!
Christian Tharp, CMT
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